Well, what we've heard from the concern trolls locally is that the Obama campaign is essentially doomed because of the steadfast blowback from groups like PUMA, Just Say No Deal, Citizens for McCain. For some bizarre reason, the media seems to be carrying this as a narrative, however, the numbers and the math don't lie: I don't think we have much to be concerned about, and actually, the level of unity at this part of the campaign is pretty much on par, if not a touch better than otheR years at the same point in time. Let's look at some polling after the flap.
First, from LA Times/Bloomberg:
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-
na-poll25-2008jun25,0,5763707.story
In a two-man race between the major-party candidates, registered voters chose Obama over McCain by 49% to 37% in the national poll, conducted Thursday through Monday.
But the great majority of Clinton voters have transferred their allegiance to Obama, the poll found, with 11% of Clinton voters defecting to McCain.
Interesting--11% of Dems defecting to a Republican. Not very high at all, considering that 11% defection rate is the exact same defection rate that existed in November 2004, per CNN exit polling:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/r
esults/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html
Now, you might get up in arms and say this "ZOMG WELL WE LOST 04 WE ARE DOOOOOOOOOOMED". But the fact that we have a 5 month head start on the 2004 number, and with all the warring within the party, and we're still not that bad off? This is destined to only improve--especally with the Obama and Clinton teams working together, and Hillary out on the stump and trail for Barack this summer. Now, do you want to see more numbers? It seems, that, for the most part except for one outlier poll released today, that the above numbers are true:
http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/ keynjn08_1.pdf
This poll's findings is that only 14% will support McCain, a number that can go down and is awfully close to the 11% in the previous poll.
What strikes me even more however, is even with the naysaying and doom speaking from groups like Just Say No Deal and PUMA, Barack Obama is still a +6.7 in polling averages over John McCain, even with the wounds of a hard fought primary contest still fresh in many people's minds.
So let's fight the media narrative that these groups are legitimate--because they aren't. They aren't affecting polling numbers; they aren't making a difference. They're openly worshipping idiots like Larry Sinclair, or Republicans that trash Obama; or thinking that Carly Fiorina is actually being serious when she praises Hillary. We're starting with a good lead that will continue to grow over time because Americans know that George W. McSame is just as bad for America as Shrubya was, and we're on our way to a 60 seat super majority in the Senate. Don't fall for the snake oil--there's still plenty of work to do in terms of unity, but we've got a much better start than could be expected.
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